Panthers host Capitals in important divisional clash
Hockey Betting Lines
02/01/2012 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Florida Panthers' first game following the All-Star
break is an important one, as they host the rival Washington Capitals in
tonight's Southeast Division clash at BankAtlantic Center.
The Panthers, who are attempting to make the playoffs for the first time since
2000, enter tonight one point behind Washington for first place in the
Southeast Division. The clubs were tied heading into the All-Star break, but
the Capitals took over the top spot after gaining a point in Tuesday's
overtime loss in Tampa.
Florida, which is also one point in back of Toronto for the eighth seed in the
East, will try to bounce back from a rough January that saw the club go 2-3-4
over nine games. The Panthers have won just four times in their last 15 trips
to the ice.
The Capitals and Panthers have each won a game against each other this season
and the clubs have split the last eight meetings overall. Florida has taken
three of the last four matchups in Sunrise and posted a 5-4 regulation win
when the clubs met on Dec. 5 in South Florida. Stephen Weiss, Brian Campbell
and the now-injured Dmitry Kulikov each had three-point nights in that last
contest between these Southeast Division foes.
Campbell was Florida's lone representative at Sunday's All-Star Game in Ottawa
and he posted an assist and had a plus-seven rating to help Team Chara record
a 12-9 win over Team Alfredsson.
Florida opened a three-game homestand just prior to the All-Star break and it
suffered a 3-2 shootout loss to the Philadelphia Flyers. The Panthers have
lost their last three home games, dropping them to 11-5-7 as the host this
year.
Panthers leading scorer Kris Versteeg has been bothered by the flu bug
recently, but is expected to play tonight. Florida also expects to have
forward Marco Sturm back this evening for the first time since he suffered a
concussion on Dec. 21.
Meanwhile, the Capitals will not have superstar winger Alex Ovechkin tonight,
as he serves the final portion of a three-game suspension for a hit on
Pittsburgh's Zbynek Michalek. The Panthers won't miss Ovechkin, who has 47
points in 40 career games against Florida.
Washington lost for the third time in four games Tuesday evening in Tampa, but
the Caps also posted a point in their third straight outing. The Caps dropped
a 4-3 decision to the Lightning, as Steven Stamkos scored the winner at the
2:45 mark of overtime. Washington had tied the game at 3-3 when Troy Brouwer
scored the only goal of the third period.
Brouwer, Matt Hendricks and Mathieu Perreault all scored for the Capitals,
while Tomas Vokoun finished the game with 27 saves.
"We created chances very well tonight," said Hendricks. "We were able to come
back from a couple of goals and those are the positives we can take out of
this game."
Vokoun played the previous four seasons with Florida before signing a one-year
deal with Washington in the offseason. It's unclear if the Czech veteran will
get his first start in Sunrise since leaving the Panthers tonight, or if head
coach Dale Hunter will use Michal Neuvirth rather than let the 35-year-old
Vokoun play on back-to-back nights.
Vokoun went 101-108-30 with a 2.57 goals-against average and a .923 save
percentage in 248 games with the Panthers.
<< Kings continue homestand against Blue Jackets
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The All-Star break interrupted the Kings' four-game
homestand and Los Angeles will try to complete the residency on a positive
note when they host the lowly Columbus Blue Jackets tonight at the Staples
Center.
The Kings l
<< Clippers search for success in Utah
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Clippers hope to record a season-high
fourth consecutive win tonight by turning around their fortunes in Utah.
Playing the Jazz in Salt Lake City has traditionally been a non-starter for
the Clips. LA has d
<< Lowly Bobcats meet Blazers in Rip City
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The hapless Charlotte Bobcats will try to avoid a 10th
straight loss tonight when they resume a four-game road trip against the
Portland Trail Blazers in Rip City.
Halting the skid tonight, however, figures to be exceeding
<< Streaking Pens shoot for home-and-home sweep in Toronto
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tuesday was a pretty good day for the Penguins all around.
Pittsburgh will try to keep the good times going this evening and extend its
eight-game win streak with a home-and-home sweep of the hosting Toronto Maple
Leafs.
<< Spurs and Rockets meet in the Alamo City
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bragging rights for South Texas are on the line Wednesday
when the San Antonio Spurs play host to the Houston Rockets.
The Spurs earned a rare road victory this season by snapping a two-game skid
on Monday in Memphis. Matt
Stars, Ducks rematch in Anaheim >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Stars entered the All-Star break with a 1-0 win over
the Ducks and Dallas will try to duplicate that result, ideally with more
goals, when it visits Anaheim for tonight's Pacific Division battle at the
Honda Center.
K
Pistons finish road trip against Nets >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Pistons hope to solve their road issues tonight
in the finale of a four-game trek against the New Jersey Nets.
Detroit is 0-3 so far on the road trip and has lost six straight as the guest,
including Tuesdays 1
Celtics kick off homestand vs. Raptors >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It appears the Boston Celtics are back on track and will
commence a five-game homestand tonight versus the Toronto Raptors at TD
Garden.
Boston will also host the Knicks, Grizzlies, Bobcats and Lakers, and is 6-6 in
Beant
Improved Wolves entertain Pacers >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Indiana Pacers target their third straight win tonight,
when they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center.
Indiana has won two in a row and five of its last seven games, including
Tuesday's 106-99 triumph o
Suns and Hornets tangle in the Big Easy >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Phoenix Suns will hit the road to the Big Easy tonight
for a showdown with the New Orleans Hornets.
The Suns have lost four of five games and are coming off Mondays 122-99 loss
to the Dallas Mavericks. Marcin Gortat le
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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