No arguing with Patriots' (tight) end results
Football Betting Lines
02/01/2012 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In the 2007 NFL season, the New England Patriots reached the
Super Bowl on the strength of an extraordinarily explosive offense that
contained a record-setting quarterback, a wide receiver with over 100 catches
and another with six Pro Bowl citations to his credit.
In the 2011 NFL season, the New England Patriots also reached the Super Bowl on
the strength of an extraordinary explosive offense that contained a record-
setting quarterback, a wide receiver with over 100 catches and another with six
Pro Bowl citations to his credit.
So what's changed, if anything, in the four years in between?
Well for starters, that decorated wide receiver in 2007 was Randy Moss, a
controversial acquisition prior to that season who ended up setting a new
league standard with 23 touchdown receptions in one of the most dominant
offensive campaigns ever produced.
The Patriots hoped history would repeat itself when the team traded for the
equally-accomplished and polarizing Chad Ochocinco in late July, but weren't
able to capture lightning in a bottle this time. The colorful veteran had the
least productive season of his 11-year career, finishing with a mere 15 catches
while barely seeing the field during his new team's playoff run.
If solely comparing the numbers of those two star players, it's hard to make an
argument that this current version of the New England offense could actually be
superior to the nearly unstoppable juggernaut that put up an NFL-record 589
points during a 16-0 regular season in 2007.
But when considering that Tom Brady didn't have Rob Gronkowski or Aaron
Hernandez to throw to that year, such a statement suddenly doesn't seem as far-
fetched.
The sensational second-year duo has helped to revolutionize a tight end
position that's traditionally been viewed as a secondary outlet for
quarterbacks, shattering much more than stereotypes in their instant ascension
to stardom. The pair's combined 2011 totals of 169 catches, 2,237 yards and 24
touchdowns were by far the most by a tight end tandem in NFL history, well
ahead of the 163 grabs and 1,927 yards compiled by a foursome of San Diego Chargers in 1984.
Gronkowski also etched his name into the individual record books with a
spectacular sophomore season that saw the punishing 22-year-old rack up 1,327
receiving yards and an NFL-best 17 touchdown catches, both the most ever by a
tight end. He would add three more scoring grabs in New England's 45-10
shellacking of Denver in the AFC Divisional Playoffs, a game in which the 2010
second-round draft choice hauled in 10 Brady passes for 145 yards.
Though Hernandez's stats aren't quite as gaudy, the athletic Connecticut native
still made a sizeable contribution to an offense that amassed the third-most
net passing yards (5,084) in a season in NFL annals. He came through with 79
catches and 910 receiving yards despite sitting out a pair of games with a knee
sprain, surpassing the 100-yard mark three times over the course of the year.
"Those guys are exceptional tight ends and they've been Brady's go-to guys all
year long along with [slot receiver] Wes Welker," said New York Giants safety
Antrel Rolle, whose team will once again be the Patriots' Super Bowl opponent
in yet another striking similarity between the 2007 and 2011 seasons. "They
present a great challenge."
Rolle and his defensive mates may be catching a giant break in this
championship rematch, however, after Gronkowski suffered a significant sprain
of his left ankle in New England's narrow victory over Baltimore in the AFC
title game on Jan. 22. Though the invaluable All-Pro had shed his walking boot
during Tuesday's Media Day and is fully expected to play in the Super Bowl,
it's likely he'll be limited physically to at least some extent.
"He's such a huge weapon and causes so many mismatches it makes it hard for
defenses to focus on one player," said Hernandez. "Obviously if he's a hundred
percent, that's what we need."
While having Gronkowski at potentially less than full strength is an obvious
concern, it's not as if the Patriots will be lacking offensive options when
they take the field at Indianapolis' Lucas Oil Stadium seeking to avenge their
17-14 loss to the Giants in Super Bowl XLII. Not only can New England boast a
three-time champion quarterback in Brady, whose 5,235 passing yards in 2011
ranks as the second-highest amount ever, but the ever-reliable Welker came
through with his fourth 100-catch season in five years and fellow wideout Deion
Branch was the MVP of New England's Super Bowl XXXIX triumph over Philadelphia
seven years ago.
And of course, there's Hernandez, whose ability to excel in a number of
different roles has made the Patriots an even more difficult foe to defend.
Though a bit undersized by tight-end standards at 6-foot-2 and 245 pounds, the
22-year-old's above-average speed and agility allows creative coordinator Bill
O'Brien to often deploy him as a jacked-up wide receiver who often lines up in
the slot, and he's even been utilized as a running back at times to add another
wrinkle for opponents. In the Divisional Round rout of the Broncos, Hernandez
led New England with 61 rushing yards on five carries.
The 6-foot-6, 265-pound Gronkowski is more the prototypical tight end whose
remarkable exploits as a receiver often overshadow his prowess and value as an
in-line blocker.
"Those two guys complement each other well," noted Patriots head coach Bill
Belichick. "They compete against each other in a good way. They learn from each
other. They've done a great job for us over the past two seasons. I'm glad we
have them."
Below is a capsule look at the offense of the New England Patriots, with
regular season statistics in parentheses::
Quarterback: Brady (5235 passing yards, 39 TD, 12 INT) had already entered this
postseason with a laundry list of achievements, and the two-time league MVP
further enhanced his legacy by tying an NFL playoff record with six touchdown
passes in the Denver game. He then matched boyhood idol Joe Montana for the
most postseason wins (16) by a signal-caller in the AFC Championship ousting of
Baltimore, despite tossing two interceptions and playing poorly in his own
analysis. The 34-year-old has still generated an excellent 25-to-5 touchdown-
to-interception ratio during the 10-game win streak the Patriots bring into
Indianapolis, and the 39 scoring strikes he accounted for in the regular season
were the second-most of his glorious career.
Running Backs: Though it lacks a true standout, New England's backfield-by-
committee approach has provided a useful complement to the team's passing
proficiency. Leading rusher BenJarvus Green-Ellis (667 rushing yards, 11 TD) is
a strong between-the-tackles performer who's scored 24 touchdowns over the past
two seasons, though the undrafted free-agent's most impressive stat is the zero
fumbles over 562 career touches he's had over his four-year tenure. That
impeccable track record is the main reason why he's ahead of more-talented
rookie Stevan Ridley (441 rushing yards, 1 TD), benched for the AFC
Championship after losing a fumble against Denver the week prior, on the depth
chart. Former Jets castoff Danny Woodhead (351 rushing yards, 1 TD, 18
receptions) now holds down the third-down role held for years by 13-year vet
Kevin Faulk, who's been used sparingly since returning from an ACL tear in
midseason.
Wide Receivers: No New England player benefited more by the emergence of
Gronkowski and Hernandez than Welker (122 receptions, 1569 yards, 9 TD), whose
1,569 receiving yards eclipsed Moss' club season mark set in 2007 and ranked
second in the NFL this year, and the prolific slot specialist was a real
handful for the Giants in both Super Bowl XLII (11 catches, 103 yards) as well
as the Patriots' 24-20 loss to New York back in November (9 catches, 136
yards). Branch (51 receptions, 5 TD) also owns a wealth of big-game experience,
having been an integral part of two previous championship teams during his
first tour of duty with the organization from 2002-06, but Ochocinco (15
receptions, 1 TD) has been essentially an afterthought following a slow
adjustment to a new scheme, having fallen behind both Welker clone Julian
Edelman and ex-Jaguars washout Tiquan Underwood in the pecking order late in
the season.
Tight Ends: The health status of Gronkowski (90 receptions, 1327 yards, 17 TD)
has been one of the most followed storylines of this year's Big Game, and for
good reason. He was a big factor in New England's Week 9 meeting with the
Giants, netting 101 yards and a touchdown on eight catches, and eight of
Brady's 12 interceptions during the regular season came on plays in which
Gronkowski and sidekick Hernandez (79 receptions, 7 TD) weren't on the field
together. Hernandez has been more of a focal point as of late, however, having
averaged six catches and 85 yards over the Patriots' six most recent wins.
Offensive Line: Usually an unsung part of New England's sustained success, this
five-man group has held up pretty well in 2011 despite two key regulars, center
Dan Koppen and right tackle Sebastian Vollmer, having missed the majority of
the season due to injuries. The Patriots have started three players since
longtime pivot man Koppen fractured his ankle in the Week 1 opener, with
capable substitute Dan Connolly manning the position for most of the way and
filling in adequately, and promising rookie Nate Solder has earned his stripes
by starting 13 times in place of Vollmer, who hasn't played since November
because of an ankle problem but will be ready if needed for the Super Bowl. The
remainder of the line is loaded with experience and prestige, as guards Logan
Mankins and Brian Waters have been named to 10 Pro Bowls between them and left
tackle Matt Light has served as Brady's trusted blind-side protector since
breaking into the league in 2001.
<< Hannover's Pogatetz hit with three-match ban
Hannover, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hannover defender Emanuel Pogatetz has
been handed a three-match ban by the German Football Federation (DFB) for
punching Nurnberg's Philipp Wollscheid.
The incident occurred in last Friday's 1-
<< Nets pick up G Bogans
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Seeking to bolster its defensive
performance, the New Jersey Nets signed 6-foot-5 free agent guard Keith Bogans
on Wednesday.
Per team policy, contract terms were not disclosed.
"Keith will
<< Rams and Rebels duke it out in Sin City
Las Vegas, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Off to their best start since the 1991-92
campaign, the UNLV Runnin' Rebels find themselves ranked 11th in the nation
and tied for the top spot in the Mountain West Conference as they prepare for
the arrival of
<< Broncos battle 17th-ranked Aztecs
San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Trying to win their first conference game as
a member of the Mountain West, the Boise State Broncos face one of their
toughest tests yet as they tangle with 17th-ranked San Diego State at Viejas
Arena tonight.
<< Huskies and Hoyas square off Big East action
Washington, D.C. (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Connecticut Huskies have made their
way to the nation's capital for tonight's Big East Conference showdown with
the 14th-ranked Georgetown Hoyas.
UConn is hoping to put the brakes on a three-game slide
Isles center Tavares named top NHL player for January >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - New York Islanders center John Tavares has
been named the NHL's First Star for the month of January.
Tavares led the league in points last month with nine goals and 13 assists
while registering a plu
Penguins claim F O'Reilly off re-entry waivers >>
Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Penguins claimed forward Cal
O'Reilly off of re-entry waivers from the Phoenix Coyotes on Wednesday.
The 25-year-old has registered two goals and four assists in 27 combined games
with Nashvi
Wilshere suffers another injury setback >>
London, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Arsenal and England midfielder Jack
Wilshere will spend further time on the sidelines after developing a stress
fracture in his right foot.
The 20-year-old has been out of action since June a
Newcastle's Cabaye handed three-match ban >>
Newcastle, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Newcastle midfielder Yohan Cabaye has
failed in his appeal to the English Football Association over a violent
conduct charge stemming from Saturday's FA Cup loss to Brighton and Hove
Albion,
Pirates ink veteran hurler Cruz to minor league deal >>
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday signed
pitcher Juan Cruz to a minor league contract with an invitation to spring
training.
The 33-year-old right-hander went 5-0 with a 3.88 earned run average
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
Additional basketball lines can be found at: www.MySportsbook.com
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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