Nats go with another young arm vs. Braves
Baseball Betting Lines
04/21/2009 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After getting a win out of one young hurler in yesterday's
series opener, the Nationals turn to a 22-year-old with hopes of building
their first winning streak of the season.
Shairon Martis and Washington play host to the Atlanta Braves tonight in the
second contest of a three-game series at Nationals Park.
The Nationals had dropped 10 of their first 11 games of the season and were
sending out Jordan Zimmermann for his major-league debut in Monday's opener.
The 22-year-old worked through a rain delay and inexperience to pick up the
3-2 win after allowing two runs and six hits over six innings of work.
Washington finally got a solid outing from its bullpen as well. After blowing
a pair of saves in the Nationals' last series, Joel Hanrahan worked around a
one-out walk to notch his first save of the year.
Martis follows Zimmermann tonight and is coming off Thursday's win over
Philadelphia in which he allowed two runs on five hits over 6 1/3 innings. He
has already faced Atlanta once this year, taking a no-decision on April 10 in
a three-inning rain-shortened outing. He did allow three runs in that brief
start, including a homer to Yunel Escobar.
Jesus Flores drove in two runs in Monday's win for the Nationals and Elijah
Dukes added a pair of hits and scored a run. On the same day he signed a five-
year contract extension worth $45 million, Ryan Zimmerman went 1-for-4 and is
hitting .273 this year with two homers and 10 RBI.
One of those homers came in an April 11 battle with Atlanta and Kenshin
Kawakami, who will start for the Braves tonight. That outing versus the
Nationals was Kawakami's first start in the major leagues after making a name
for himself in Japan.
The 33-year-old righty allowed three runs on four hits and four walks over six
innings in the win. He fanned eight batters in the outing, getting Flores and
Adam Dunn twice each.
Kawakami then took the hill versus Florida five days later and got the loss,
yielding five runs (4 earned) on five hits and three walks over six innings,
striking out another seven hitters.
Yesterday's starter for the Braves, Derek Lowe (1-1), surrendered seven hits
and three runs in six innings to suffer the loss, Atlanta's sixth in seven
contests. Matt Diaz belted a two-run homer in the fourth inning.
The Braves did get Escobar back after a three-game absence due to an abdominal
strain, though catcher Brian McCann missed his second consecutive game because
of blurred vision in his left eye. He will see an eye specialist today in DC.
Garret Anderson also sat out Monday's game after leaving the previous day's
game in the fourth inning with tightness in his left quad.
The Braves swept the Nationals at home in three games from April 10-12, but
won just two of nine meetings in DC last season.
<< Pirates try to handle Marlins again in Steel City
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Facing the top team in baseball didn't scare Pittsburgh's
pitching staff. Coming off their third shutout win in four games, the Pirates
resume a three-game series with the Florida Marlins this evening at PNC Park.
Thoug
<< Phils send Moyer to hill in opener with Brewers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Off to a rough start to the season, a rain delay prevented
the Phillies from building momentum from their latest win. Philadelphia gets
back to business tonight in the opener of a three-game set with the Milwaukee
Brewers
<< Streaking BoSox open quick set vs. Twins
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After a slow start the Boston Red Sox seem to have found
their way. Tonight, they try to win their sixth straight game when they open a
brief two-game series with the Minnesota Twins at Fenway Park.
Boston completed a
<< Reds, Cubs begin series at Wrigley
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Newcomer meets ace tonight at Wrigley Field when the
Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs open a three-game series.
The Reds will go with No. 5 starter Micah Owings, who'll make his second start
since coming over as the player
<< Halladay goes for fourth win in as many starts in opener with Rangers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former Cy Young Award winner Roy Halladay takes aim at a
major-league best fourth victory tonight when the Toronto Blue Jays host the
Texas Rangers in game one of a three-game series at Rogers Centre.
A 31-year-old native
Flyers try to even series in Game 4 against Pens >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Flyers will get a chance to even their
best-of-seven Eastern Conference quarterfinal series tonight, when they host
the rival Pittsburgh Penguins in Game 4 at the Wachovia Center.
The fifth-seeded Flyers w
Blue Jackets host Wings in club's first home playoff game >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first home playoff game in Columbus Blue Jackets
history will take place tonight, as the seventh-seeded club hosts the mighty
Detroit Red Wings in Game 3 of their best-of-seven Western Conference
quarterfinal series.
'Canes try to bounce back in Game 4 against Devils >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The sixth-seeded Carolina Hurricanes will try to rebound
tonight when they host the New Jersey Devils at RBC Center for a crucial Game
4 in the best-of-seven Eastern Conference quarterfinals.
Carolina split a pair of meeti
Canucks aim for sweep of Blues in Game 4 >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Vancouver Canucks can become the first team to advance
to the second round of the playoffs tonight when they try to complete a sweep
of the St. Louis Blues in Game 4 of the Western Conference quarterfinals at
Scottrade Ce
Desperate Sharks head to Anaheim for Game 3 of West quarters >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The top-seeded San Jose Sharks have not resembled a team
coming off the best regular season in franchise history. The eighth-seeded
Anaheim Ducks, meanwhile, are looking like the club that won it all in 2007
and will try for
Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends
We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS. Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned. For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go. As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190). Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet. For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction. On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later. Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick. Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com
New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors
Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season.
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls
Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times.
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season.
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers
In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS.
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”. With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit. Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
 The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
Additional basketball lines can be found at: www.MySportsbook.com
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
read more
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